Stock Replacement Strategy
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Stock Replacement Strategy - Definition
A trading strategy that involves replacing the purchase of stocks with the purchase of its deep in the money call options so that
more cash is retained in an account for hedging purpose.
Stock Replacement Strategy - Introduction
The Stock Replacement Strategy is an
options trading
strategy that have been around for decades and recently made popular (2007) by the
host of CNBC's Mad Money program, Jim Cramer. It is an
options strategy that can be both simple and complex with
the versatility to cater to the needs of amateur options traders and professional options traders. The main purpose
of the Stock Replacement Strategy is the reduction of overall portfolio risk through the replacement of stocks using deep in the money call options
and then using the remaining cash for strategic hedging as the trade progresses. We will cover both the
simple and complex (full) version of the Stock Replacement Strategy in this tutorial.
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When Should You Use The Stock Replacement Strategy?
You use the stock replacement strategy when you want to limit downside risk while retaining the full benefits of stock appreciation.
Overview Of The Stock Replacement Strategy
The stock replacement strategy is a two part strategy consisting of the initial position and the hedging trades. The flow chart below
explains the components of the stock replacement strategy.
Stock Replacement Strategy - Initial Position
The Stock Replacement Strategy is an options trading strategy made possible through the leverage effects of
stock options.
The Stock Replacement Strategy establishes initial position by buying deep in the money
call options with at least 3 months to expiration
(so that the underlying stock have enough time to move. In fact, longer term options can be used as well) representing the
same amount of stocks
that would otherwise be bought. Up to this part, we are in fact establishing a
Fiduciary Call strategy using deep
in the money options.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
Initial Position
Assuming you have $5000 to invest in stocks of XYZ company trading at $50. XYZ company's $25 strike price call options are asking at $25.10.
Instead of buying 100 shares using all your money, you would own the rights to the same 100 shares by buying 100 contracts (1 lot) of the $25 strike price call options
for only $2510. At this point, your maximum risk is only $2510 instead of $5000.
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Deep in the money call options have
delta value of 1 or very close to 1,
allowing them to rise dollar for dollar with the underlying stock.
This makes deep in the money options the perfect replacement for the underlying stocks and is also it
is known as a Stock Replacement Strategy. Deep in the money options essentially allows you to "own" the stocks at a big discount, thereby
limiting downside risk as the maximum loss you can suffer is the amount that went into paying for the options.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
If Stock Takes A Big Fall
Assuming stocks of XYZ company takes a surprise drop from $50 to $15 within a month.
If you owned the stocks, you would have lost $5000 - $1500 = $3500
If you used the Stock Replacement Strategy, you would have lost only $2510.
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Deep in the money options also appreciates dollar for dollar with the underlying stock, greatly enhancing your ROI since the capital
outlay is significantly lower.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
If Stock Rises
Assuming stocks of XYZ company rises to $70 from $50 within a month.
If you owned the stocks, you would have made $7000 - $5000 = $2000, which is a 40% profit.
If you used the Stock Replacement Strategy, you would have made $4510 - $2510 = $2000, which is a 79.7% profit!
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There are already 3 important benefits achieved at this stage:
1. Full benefit of stock appreciation is retained.
2. Maximum possible loss is greatly limited.
3. ROI is greatly enhanced.
Up to this point, amateur options traders who are not skilled in
hedging
simply put on the initial position as a risk limited way of owning the
stocks. This is what many options traders refer to as the simple version of the Stock Replacement Strategy.
Stock Replacement Strategy - The Complex Bit
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Beginner options traders should halt at this point to avoid confusion.
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Here is where the complex bit of the Stock Replacement Strategy starts. Cash freed up from owning the options and not the stocks comes into play
from this point onwards in order to hedge the position during various stages of the trade. Hedging in the Stock Replacement Strategy is highly
discretionary and without fixed levels or formulas.
The type of hedge to be used and when it should be used depends solely on your analysis
of the stock action especially at resistance and support levels
and is most suitable for experienced
swing traders.
That's why this phase of the Stock Replacement Strategy is something which
should not be
taken lightly by beginners or amateurs.
Let's remember that the goal of the Stock Replacement Strategy is the reduction of risk and volatility through strategic hedging.
If the stock is bought outright, no cash is left for hedging, leaving the position vulnerable to a lot of volatility as it is free to go down
as easily as it can go up. By hedging the position when it goes up or down, especially at resistance or support levels, position volatility is
reduced as potential losses are limited at the cost of a little profit.
There are 2 main hedging techniques in the Stock Replacement Strategy:
1. OTM Call Writing : For moderate corrections
2. Stock Shorting : For significant corrections
OTM Call Writing
Writing
out of the money (OTM)
call options against the existing calls in the Stock Replacement Strategy creates a
bull call spread which provides
protection against the stock moving sideways or correcting downwards slightly even though
maximum upside potential becomes limited. Writing OTM call options keeps the Stock Replacement Strategy
position delta
positive and converts the
position theta
to positive as well. This allows the Stock Replacement Strategy position to continue to profit if the stock moves upwards
as well as if the stock remains stagnant due to
time decay
of the out of the money call options. In fact, this hedge is best applied when the
stock is expected to stay below the strike price of the otm call options for a significant amount of time so that it may be closed for a
profit should the stock resume its uptrend later.
As the stock replacement strategy writes the same
number of otm call options as there are deep in the money call options, no margin is required.
You would conduct this stage of hedging when the stock approaches a short term resistance level and is expected to pullback slightly.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
Writing OTM Call Options
Assuming stocks of XYZ company rises to $60, which is assessed to be a strong resistance level.
You own 100 contracts of XYZ $25 strike call options which are now valued at $35.05 and you wish to apply the OTM call writing hedge to
partially protect the profits so far and also to make a further profit if the stock remains stagnant.
You
sell to open
100 contracts of XYZ $70 strike call options which are now valued at $5.00.
You are now protected such that if the stock falls to $55, the position loses nothing due to the $5.00 gained from the sale of the otm call options.
Your potential profit is also enhanced if the stock rises up to the $70 mark where you not only make the capital gain from the long call options
but also the premium gained from the short call options.
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The effect of this hedge is that it reduces the position delta value, reducing the potential profit of the position if the stock goes up
and the loss if the stock goes down. This effectively reduces the volatility of the position relative to the underlying stock.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
Effect On Position Delta
Here's how the delta value of the position look like after applying the otm hedge in the previous example:
100 Long $25 Call Options : 100 delta
100 Short $70 Call Options : -25 delta
Overall position delta = 100 - 25 = 75 delta
Instead of making $100 if the stock goes up by $1, the position is now capable of making only $75 if the stock goes up by $1. That's the
trade-off for having the protection in place. A little profit for a lot better sleep at night. Conversely, this also mean that the position's
sensitivity to a drop in the stock becomes reduced as well! When the stock falls by $1, instead of losing $100, the position loses only $75!
This is what a reduction in position volatility means. Having a lower position delta, lowers the sensitivity of the position to changes in the
underlying stock thus reducing the volatility of the position relative to the stock.
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If the resistance level is broken and the stock is expected to continue rising, the otm call options are to be bought back in order to
restore the delta value of the position back to its pre-hedged level and maximize profits.
Buying back the otm call options after the stock starts rising may result in having to pay a slightly higher price than you
sold it for, that is why you need cash in the account to perform this stage of the stock replacement strategy.
Stock Shorting
If the stock is expected to take a significant correction, the stock shorting method should be used either on its own or in conjunction with
writing the otm call options. There is only one purpose for shorting the stock and that is to completely protect the
Stock Replacement Strategy position.
Shorting the stock allows the delta value to be hedged to an absolute zero, converting the stock replacement strategy position into a
delta neutral position
which is capable of not only protecting the profits made in the position so far but also to continue profiting should the
stock take a significant and prolonged plunge.
To execute this hedging technique, simply short as many shares of the underlying stock as the delta value of the position to be hedged.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
Stock Shorting
Assuming stocks of XYZ company rises to $60, which is assessed to be a strong resistance level and that the stock is expected to take a big fall.
You own 100 contracts of XYZ $25 strike call options which are now valued at $35.05 and you wish to apply the stock shorting hedge to
fully protect the profits so far and also to make a further profit if the stock falls significantly.
The delta value of your position is 100.
You will short 100 shares XYZ stocks to fully hedge the position to delta neutral.
From this point forward, with the position at delta neutral, the value of the position will not change no matter how the stock moves above the
strike price of the deep in the money call options, which in this case is $25, as all losses in the options will be offset by gains in the
short stock and losses in the short stock are also fully offset by gains in the options.
Furthermore, if the
stock falls drastically below the strike price of the deep in the money calls, the position will continue to profit as the short stock falls
further.
Assuming stocks of XYZ company falls by $20 to $40.
100 contracts of $25 strike call options : $1500
Short 100 shares of XYZ stocks : + $2000 ($20 x 100)
Total position value : $3500
Your position value moved from $3505 to $3500 due to premium decay even though stock dropped from $60 to $20. The position value have been
almost completely protected.
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This stock replacement strategy hedging technique
can also be used in conjunction with writing otm calls, especially when the stock fails at the resistance level and is
expected to fall significantly. To do this, you simply
short
as many shares of the stock as the remaining delta value of the position.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
Writing OTM Call Options + Shorting Stocks
Assuming stocks of XYZ company rises to $60, which is assessed to be a strong resistance level.
You own 100 contracts of XYZ $25 strike call options which are now valued at $35.05 and you wish to apply the OTM call writing hedge to
partially protect the profits so far and also to make a further profit if the stock remains stagnant.
You sell to open 100 contracts of XYZ $70 strike call options which are now valued at $5.00.
You are now protected such that if the stock falls to $55, the position loses nothing due to the $5.00 gained from the sale of the otm call options.
Your potential profit is also enhanced if the stock rises up to the $70 mark where you not only make the capital gain from the long call options
but also the premium gained from the short call options.
Assuming stocks of XYZ company fails at the resistance level, falls to $55 and is expected to fall further.
The position has a delta value of 75 as explained in the previous example. You simply short 75 shares of XYZ company stocks to complete the
delta neutral hedge.
From this point forward, your stock replacement strategy position will consist of 100 contracts of $25 strike call options, short 100 contracts
of $70 strike call options and short 75 shares of XYZ stocks.
Assuming stocks of XYZ company falls by $20 to $40.
100 contracts of $25 strike call options : $1500
Short 100 contracts of $70 strike call options : + $500 ($5.00 x 100)
Short 75 shares of XYZ stocks : + $1500 ($20 x 75)
Total position value : $3500
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Stock Replacement Strategy - Unhedging
So, after the hedges are in place and the stock drops back down to a strong support level, you would already be able to sell the hedges
at a profit and then let the deep in the money options rise again to the next resistance level. This way, you would be able to make
a handsome profit even if the stock simply oscillated within a range. That is the real magic of the Stock Replacement Strategy.
Protecting your profits on the way down and leveraging your way up.
Stock Replacement Strategy Example
Stock Shorting
Assuming stocks of XYZ company falls by $20 to $40.
100 contracts of $25 strike call options : $1500
Short 100 shares of XYZ stocks : + $2000 ($20 x 100)
Total position value : $3500
Your position value moved from $3505 to $3500 due to premium decay even though stock dropped from $60 to $20. The position value have been
almost completely protected.
Assuming $40 is assessed to be a strong support level, you simply unhedge the position by covering the short stock position.
After covering the short stock position, your portfolio would be:
100 contracts of $25 strike call options valued @ $1500 and cash of $2000 from closing the short stocks.
With the cash of $2000, you could buy more of the $25 strike call options so that you can further leverage your profits on the way up.
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Advantages Of Stock Replacement Strategy
1. Reduction of maximum possible loss through replacing owning the stock with owning the options instead.
2. Reduction of portfolio volatility through strategic hedging under various resistance levels.
3. Increasing profitability through strategic unhedging at support.
Disadvantages of Stock Replacement Strategy
1. Requires a high level of technical analysis skill to identify areas of resistance and support.
2. Significant profits can be lost if hedging is done at the wrong areas.
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